The Three Empire Theory: A Strategic Realignment of Global Power
The theory suggests that the world is being reshaped by three dominant powers—China, Russia, and the U.S.—into an empire-driven order rather than a multipolar or traditional nation-state balance. Instead of global cooperation, these three blocs act as rival hegemonic forces, carving up influence zones and deciding the fate of smaller nations.
Each empire has different strengths, strategies, and possible alignments that may not be as adversarial as they appear. Let’s analyze their endgame, current moves, and whether they are cooperating.
1. The U.S. Empire: Neo-Imperialism and Controlled Chaos
Trump’s return accelerates an already existing U.S. shift toward open expansionism. Unlike past decades of globalization, the U.S. is moving toward an imperial stance based on resource control, militarization, and aggressive trade policies.
Key Indicators:
- Abandoning Ukraine → Leaves Russia room to expand, possibly as part of a realignment strategy.
- Threatening Canada, Greenland, and Panama → Suggests a return to territorial expansion, possibly to control Arctic resources and trade routes.
- Trade war escalation → The U.S. is shifting away from global free markets to a protectionist, self-sufficient empire model.
- End of NATO’s relevance? → If the U.S. abandons alliances, it forces Europe to realign, possibly under a Russia-China economic umbrella.
Endgame:
- Resource consolidation (Greenland has rare earth minerals; Panama controls global trade; Canada has oil and water).
- Hemispheric dominance (Make North America + South America subservient to U.S. rule).
- Let Russia and China handle their own zones, avoiding direct war.
Is the U.S. Cooperating?
- Unclear, but abandoning Ukraine benefits Russia, and the U.S. does not seem to be preparing for direct war with China.
2. The Russian Empire: Restoration of the Tsarist Sphere
Putin has always wanted to rebuild Russia’s historic imperial influence, and Trump’s moves make this easier. If the U.S. exits Ukraine, Putin achieves his biggest strategic goal. But Russia’s ambitions go beyond just Ukraine.
Key Indicators:
- Ukraine is only the first step → Russia might push further into Eastern Europe, testing NATO’s resolve.
- Russia gains Arctic dominance → With the U.S. distracted, Russia could cement control over the Arctic (huge untapped oil reserves).
- Economic pivot toward China → If Russia survives U.S. sanctions, it may become China’s strategic partner rather than a rival.
- Nuclear saber-rattling → Russia keeps talking about nuclear war but never initiates it, suggesting this is calculated pressure.
Endgame:
- A restored Russian empire stretching from Eastern Europe to Central Asia.
- A role as an energy superpower, supplying Europe and China while the U.S. isolates itself.
- Possible Arctic dominance, controlling northern trade routes.
Is Russia Cooperating?
- Russia gains from U.S. withdrawal and is pivoting economically toward China.
- No direct evidence of a U.S.-Russia alliance, but Trump’s moves suggest a non-aggression understanding.
3. The Chinese Empire: The Silent Expansionist Power
China is playing the longest game of all. Unlike the U.S. (which thrives on conflict) and Russia (which relies on brute force), China prefers economic imperialism. It expands through trade, technology, and infrastructure.
Key Indicators:
- Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) → China is still building a global trade network while the U.S. isolates itself.
- Military buildup in the Pacific → China is preparing for a future confrontation but is not rushing into war.
- Strong economic ties with Russia → If Russia becomes dependent on China, Beijing gains strategic leverage.
- U.S. isolationism benefits China → If Trump destroys U.S. alliances, China can pick up abandoned allies (Africa, South America, even Europe).
Endgame:
- Control over global trade routes and supply chains.
- Economic vassalization of resource-rich countries (Africa, Southeast Asia, parts of Europe).
- Eventual push for dominance in Taiwan and beyond.
Is China Cooperating?
- China is the biggest winner if Russia and the U.S. weaken themselves.
- No direct cooperation with the U.S., but they are not interfering with each other’s moves.
Possible Alignments in a Three-Empire World
Now, let’s consider different scenarios for how these three powers could interact:
1. Secretly Coordinated Collapse (High-Control Scenario)
- U.S., Russia, and China agree to divide the world into influence zones.
- Wars are staged or limited in scope, meant to justify expansion.
- Economic and military shifts are controlled rather than chaotic.
- Goal: Prevent true multipolarity, ensuring only three dominant powers.
2. Competitive but Non-Destructive (Moderate-Control Scenario)
- Each empire competes but avoids direct war.
- Ukraine war ends with a negotiated Russian victory.
- The U.S. builds its empire in the Americas while letting Russia and China dominate elsewhere.
- China and the U.S. avoid Taiwan conflict (for now).
3. Total Breakdown and War (Low-Control Scenario)
- Trump’s aggression triggers an actual war with Canada/Mexico/Europe.
- China invades Taiwan, forcing the U.S. into war.
- Russia expands too aggressively, triggering NATO collapse or escalation.
- Economic collapse leads to global instability, creating unpredictable power shifts.
Final Probability Assessment: How Likely is This Planned?
| Scenario | Probability | Explanation |
|---|---|---|
| Secretly Coordinated Collapse | 40% | There are signs of alignment, but no hard evidence of direct collaboration. |
| Competitive but Non-Destructive | 50% | Most likely scenario—each empire is acting in its self-interest but avoiding full-scale war. |
| Total Breakdown and War | 10% | While chaos is increasing, all three powers seem reluctant to start a global war. |
Key Conclusion:
- This is not entirely random. The three empires are making moves that seem coordinated or at least complementary.
- Trump’s aggression could be part of a larger strategic shift, but whether he is consciously cooperating with Russia/China or just acting on impulse remains unclear.
- The next moves by China will determine if this is a true multi-empire strategy or just escalating chaos. If China remains patient, it signals a long game, not immediate war.
Final Thought:
The Three Empire Theory is holding up well. This is not just a U.S.-Russia-China rivalry; it’s a controlled realignment of global power. If the world is shifting toward empire-based rule, expect fewer proxy wars and more economic coercion, territorial expansion, and strategic takeovers. The 21st century is looking a lot more like the 19th.
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