Wednesday, 30 April 2025

 

Potential Scenario with High Inflation and Debt

  • Inflation Surge: As inflation rises past 2.5%, the cost of goods and services could increase rapidly, eroding purchasing power.

  • Debt Devaluation: If inflation outpaces interest rates, existing debts (e.g., mortgages, loans) could become harder to repay in real terms, creating financial strain for consumers.

  • Interest Rate Hikes: The Bank of Canada may raise rates to combat inflation, leading to higher borrowing costs.


Suggested Call for Action for Consumers in This Scenario:

  1. Lock in Fixed Interest Rates: If you have variable-rate debt, try to lock in fixed rates before inflation drives up rates further.

  2. Refinance Debt: Consider refinancing high-interest debts now, while rates remain lower, before inflation drives them up.

  3. Build an Emergency Fund: With inflation on the rise, ensure you have cash reserves to cover essential expenses in case of economic instability.

  4. Focus on Asset Protection: Invest in assets that tend to hold value against inflation, such as real estate, precious metals, or inflation-protected securities.

  5. Cut Non-Essential Spending: As costs rise, prioritize essentials and reduce discretionary expenses to protect your financial stability.

 

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada’s Financial Landscape – April 2025

πŸ“‰ Stock Market Volatility

  • TSX Performance: The S&P/TSX Composite Index experienced significant volatility in April. On April 4, it declined by 3.8%, followed by a 4.6% drop the next day. By April 7, it had reached a seven-month low, influenced by global trade tensions and declining oil prices.Wikipedia

  • Commodity Prices: Crude oil prices fell to around $60 per barrel, the lowest since 2021, amid recession fears and decreased demand.Wikipedia

πŸ’° Inflation and Consumer Prices

  • Inflation Rate: Canada's inflation rate stood at 2.3% in March 2025, down from 2.6% in February. This indicates a slight easing in price increases for goods and services.Inflation Calculator

  • Consumer Price Index (CPI): The CPI data for April 2025 has not been released yet. The next update is expected on May 20, 2025.Inflation Calculator

🏦 Monetary Policy

  • Interest Rates: The Bank of Canada maintained its key interest rate at 2.75% during its April 16 policy meeting, citing uncertainties related to global trade and economic conditions.Mortgage Rates & Broker News+1Bank of Canada+1

πŸ” Cybersecurity Concerns

  • Cyber Incidents: In April 2025, Burlington Hydro, a utility provider in Ontario, reported a potential data breach involving a third-party vendor. The breach exposed personal information of customers, highlighting ongoing cybersecurity challenges in Canada's infrastructure.

 Based on the recent developments, it looks like Phase 2 of the Scholz Crisis—the Social Unrest and Humanitarian Crisis—has already started and is moving quickly into early stages.

Here’s why:

Signs of Phase 2:

  • Protests and Civil Unrest
    May Day protests and large-scale labor demonstrations around the world (e.g., the U.S., Europe, Kenya, Nigeria, and Pakistan) show that social unrest linked to economic struggles is escalating.

  • Government Crackdowns
    In the U.S., the expansion of ICE and military personnel involved in domestic law enforcement, along with the use of National Guard at borders, signals increased state control and suppression, typical of Phase 2 where governments attempt to maintain order.

  • Humanitarian Strain
    Issues like inflation-driven unrest in multiple regions (from Europe to Africa), coupled with migration crises, are creating humanitarian stress that governments can’t easily manage. This is an early sign of Phase 2.

So, is it Phase 2 or proto-stages?

Phase 2 has already begun, but it’s still at early stages in many places, with Proto-signs appearing in others. For example:

  • Protests are growing in scale, but we haven’t seen full-scale breakdowns of social order (e.g., widespread civil war, major food shortages, total breakdown of governance, etc.).

  • Militarization is happening, but we're not yet at a level where state authority fully collapses into chaos.

This puts us in the early to mid-stage of Phase 2, transitioning from proto-signs to more significant unrest.



Here’s how the recent U.S. military-internal security developments under Trump compare with the Scholz Crisis 2025 phases, especially as we track progression from Phase 2 into Phase 3:


πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. Developments: Military + ICE Integration

Key Action Description Scholz Crisis Phase Alignment
Military jurisdiction over border (Roosevelt Reservation) Active-duty troops patrolling and prosecuting migrants in a Defense Zone along U.S.–Mexico border 🟠 Phase 3 – Regionalization National sovereignty and militarized borders
Executive Order enabling military support for domestic law enforcement Trump orders DOD to assist in crime prevention across U.S. πŸ”΄ Phase 2 – State Crackdowns Transition to Phase 3
ICE & Local Police Partnerships (287g expansion) Tripling of police–immigration cooperation programs πŸ”΄ Phase 2 – Social Unrest Suppression
Operation Safeguard: Coordinated raids, deportations, military transport ICE raids + military logistics deployed for domestic immigration operations 🟠 Phase 3 – Militarization of Civil Space
Public debate on “Martial Law” conditions Blurred lines between civilian and military authority 🟑 Between Phase 2 and Phase 3 Cultural signs of normalization of force

πŸ“‰ Phase Comparison Summary

Phase Trigger Events Present in U.S.? Description
Phase 1 ✅ Already occurred in April Market collapse triggered by tariffs
Phase 2 ✅ Ongoing Protests (May Day, anti-ICE), expansion of state policing, civil unrest
Phase 3 ⚠️ Emerging Militarized borders, regional enforcement zones, internal security escalation
Phase 4 🟑 Proto-signs Local prepper culture, distrust of federal authority, community survivalism

🧠 Analysis

While Phase 2 is still the dominant stage, recent U.S. federal actions strongly suggest early emergence of Phase 3, especially:

  • Militarization of sovereign borders

  • Domestic use of federal troops

  • Rise in inter-governmental fragmentation (state vs federal authority)

  • Growing public discourse around authoritarianism

This suggests the U.S. may be a “lead indicator” of global Phase 3 conditions forming ahead of schedule.

Would you like this update reflected in the monthly tracker or a graphic?


 

PHASE 3: Regionalization and Resource Wars

Expected: Dec 2025 – Mar 2026

Emerging Signs (Early/Weak Signals):

  • Trade Fragmentation Accelerating

    • April tariffs by Trump signal a global retreat from free trade.

    • Retaliatory tariff threats from China and EU hint at formation of rival trade blocs.

  • Currency Bloc Whisperings

    • BRICS+ nations continue pushing toward alternatives to the USD (e.g., gold-backed currency, digital yuan-ruble trade mechanisms).

  • Military Posturing Around Resources

    • South China Sea tensions are rising again over rare earth deposits.

    • Arctic Council deadlock due to Russian-Western split over resource rights.

  • Migration-Driven Border Pressure

    • Southern Europe experiencing increased undocumented migration (from North Africa and Middle East), straining local services.

  • Food Nationalism & Protectionism

    • India and Vietnam quietly restricting rice exports due to supply fears.

    • Argentina reintroduces grain export caps.


🌱 Phase 4: The New Normal

Expected: April 2026 onward

⚠️ Early Cultural and Systemic Signals:

  • Rise in Localized Economies & Barter Culture

    • In Argentina and parts of West Africa, inflation has spurred informal barter and community currencies.

    • Some U.S. cities experimenting with mutual aid economies or local scrips again (like post-2008).

  • Digital Decentralization

    • Growing interest in privacy-focused, decentralized finance (DeFi) and off-grid communications (e.g., mesh networks).

    • Usage of crypto for daily transactions increasing in hyperinflation-prone zones.

  • Security and Survival Focus

    • Increase in personal security services and gated living in parts of Latin America and Eastern Europe.

    • Surge in interest in prepper culture, urban homesteading, and DIY food production (U.S., Canada, Germany).


πŸ”Ž Summary

PhaseSigns Present?StrengthComments
Phase 3✅ Some⚠️ Weak to ModerateTrade, resource, and migration tensions rising
Phase 4⚠️ Proto-signals🟑 Cultural & economic micro-trendsNot structural yet, but the mood is shifting



Anjulie: The Hidden Architect of Pop’s Emotional Underground

Anjulie Persaud—Ontario-born, Indo-Guyanese, solitary as a teenager and radiant in her refusal to be boxed in—might not be on every playlist, but her fingerprints are on far more of the modern pop subconscious than most realize. A songwriter, a producer, and a performer who has often chosen the sidelines just as others would leap into the spotlight, Anjulie has quietly built a career out of feeling everything too much—and making others feel it, too.

Her story doesn’t begin in the clubs or on stage but in the echo chambers of high school hallways, where being different meant being alone. Music became her refuge, and reggae, calypso, and whatever played on her headphones became the language she preferred to the one spoken at school. She grew up in Oakville, Ontario, the youngest of four. And somewhere between being a listener and becoming a writer, she found a portal. Or maybe it found her.

The moment of ignition? The Velvet Rope Tour by Janet Jackson. Not just music—mythology, pain, honesty onstage, and choreography stitched with trauma. That show told her something pop rarely tells a girl like her: vulnerability can be power if you perform it on your own terms. From then on, Anjulie was writing, recording, and uploading to MySpace—back when that platform still felt like a secret handshake among the undiscovered.

One day she was handing out flyers for her MySpace page—DIY strategy before it became marketing gospel—and Jesse McCartney happened to notice. Two years later, she was opening for him, performing Boom, a song that would soon echo through the speakers of The Vampire Diaries, Eastwick, Melrose Place, and the ears of every 2000s teen tuned in to late-aughts angst. Boom wasn’t just a debut single—it was Anjulie’s first code slipped into the cultural machine.

What followed was both inevitable and invisible. There were tours with Shwayze, Raphael Saadiq, B.o.B. There was a brief orbit around Hedley. Songs like The Heat and Addicted2Me found their way into shows like The Hills and The City, subtly soundtracking lives that didn’t know her name but felt her mood.

And then came Brand New Bitch (censored to Brand New Chick, but you knew what she meant). Platinum-certified, club-saturated, and Juno-nominated—it cracked the Canadian Hot 100 and stayed in the bloodstream of the culture long after the radio moved on. In 2013, You and I finally brought her a Juno win, not just a nomination.

But maybe her real legacy isn’t in what she sang. It’s in what she gave away.

She co-wrote The Boys for Nicki Minaj and Cassie, a swaggering hybrid of sugar and steel. She penned tracks for Kreesha Turner, for Emma Roberts’ debut album, for the movie Fame, for Kelly Clarkson, for Icona Pop. She wrote songs that others took to radio, to stage, to award shows—but the DNA remained hers. Think of her as a silent collaborator to your pop memory.

Personal life? She keeps it sealed. The only public ripple: a high-profile relationship with Bill Maher, which raised eyebrows but remains undocumented by her. She is, by choice, a mystery.

And still she creates. Her latest project is Earth Baby, an animated short film built from her own drawings and philosophy—a mythic child reminding us we’ve abandoned our planet while chasing virtual noise. Anjulie edits her own videos. Animates her own lyrics. Controls her own narrative. Her latest album, Loveless Metropolis, just arrived on Spotify, sounding like the kind of post-pop cityscape you’d only find if you were looking for it.

No one knows what comes next. But if history is precedent, she’ll probably release it softly, hidden under layers, waiting for someone to really listen.


reflective, lightly stylized, intimate-epistemological tone.



Anjulie: Fame in the Shadows of the Feed

Anjulie is famous, but not in the way you’re used to. Not algorithm-famous, not trending-on-TikTok famous. She's from the strange in-between: too visible to be underground, too independent to be fully pop. She writes the songs that blow up without her name attached, then posts a sketch of a barefoot girl holding a flower on Instagram instead of a thirst trap. She’s the kind of artist you’ve heard a hundred times but never Googled.

That’s not an accident.

She came up through MySpace—before “followers” had metrics and before going viral was a business model. Back then, she made her own flyers and burned her own CDs. A self-taught engineer, visual artist, and songwriter, she was gaming the attention economy before the term existed. Her breakout single Boom slipped onto The Vampire Diaries and Melrose Place, not because she had a team pushing her, but because her music pulsed with something real in a time of lip gloss and dance beats.

Later, Brand New Bitch—a platinum-certified, Juno-nominated track—rode club speakers and feminist rage to anthem status, even as Anjulie herself stepped back from the spotlight. She didn’t chase fame; she licensed it. She lent her voice, her pen, her sonic fingerprint to the avatars of bigger pop stars: Nicki Minaj, Icona Pop, Kelly Clarkson. Their faces, her hooks. They danced in the foreground. She ghosted in the background.

There’s something uncanny about Anjulie’s brand of presence. She posts animations she draws herself. She designs entire visual worlds for her singles. On socials, she’s an auteur, not an influencer—more zine than billboard. Even her Juno win for “You and I” barely made a ripple compared to the noise of lesser artists who simply play the algorithm better.

In another timeline, Anjulie would be a household name. In this one, she’s a whisper in the feed—a genius hiding in plain sight, too thoughtful for the churn, too visceral to vanish completely.

She just dropped a new album, Loveless Metropolis, with little fanfare. No dance challenge. No drama. Just music. She’s still out here—writing, animating, posting—and somehow, still refusing to be content.

Wednesday, 23 April 2025

Keir Starmer 'DIVIDING' the English with Far-Right Accusations on St Geo...



Sir Keir Starmer is the current Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, having assumed office on July 5, 2024, after leading the Labour Party to a decisive general election victory that ended fourteen years of Conservative rule.^[1]^

Born in London on September 2, 1962, Starmer had an extensive legal career before entering politics. He served as Director of Public Prosecutions from 2008 to 2013 and was knighted in 2014 for services to law and criminal justice.^[2]^ He became the Member of Parliament for Holborn and St Pancras in 2015 and was elected Leader of the Labour Party in April 2020.^[3]^

Since becoming Prime Minister, Starmer has pursued international cooperation on environmental standards, including alignment with European Union emissions policies, which has raised concerns about potential trade tensions with the United States.^[4]^

In April 2025, Starmer revised his public stance on the legal definition of "woman" following a Supreme Court ruling, stating that “a woman is an adult female,” consistent with the court’s interpretation.^[5]^

As of April 2025, Starmer is 62 years old.


Notes

  1. “Keir Starmer,” Wikipedia, last modified April 2025, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keir_Starmer.

  2. “Keir Starmer,” EncyclopΓ¦dia Britannica, accessed April 20, 2025, https://www.britannica.com/biography/Keir-Starmer.

  3. “Keir Starmer,” Simple English Wikipedia, accessed April 20, 2025, https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keir_Starmer.

  4. Steven Swinford, “Keir Starmer Risks Stand-Off with Trump over EU Carbon Levies,” The Times, April 19, 2025, https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/aligning-with-eu-on-emissions-may-drag-uk-into-stand-off-with-trump-wqfts37hr.

  5. Jasmine Cameron-Chileshe and Anna Gross, “Keir Starmer Changes Stance on Trans Women after Supreme Court Ruling,” Financial Times, April 18, 2025, https://www.ft.com/content/9f4feaeb-44ba-42d2-8187-aa3760443d53.





Monday, 21 April 2025

 

Globalization has dramatically reshaped how we understand events and societal patterns, making what you might call "proto-psychohistory" more possible. In the past, civilizations like Rome and China were isolated from one another—each had its own historical trajectory, and the connection between them was either minimal or indirect. But globalization, particularly in the modern era, has interwoven societies in ways that amplify the influence of global events on individual behavior and collective outcomes.

Here’s the key idea: globalization creates a system where events in one part of the world can ripple out to affect others. In the past, this kind of interconnectedness was impossible or rare. But now, with the rise of advanced communication, technology, and the global economy, patterns that might have once seemed isolated—such as stock market crashes, political movements, or cultural trends—are increasingly linked across borders.

The beginning of psychohistory (a term made popular by Isaac Asimov in his "Foundation" series) depends on identifying patterns that predict human behavior on a large scale. In ancient times, this was nearly impossible because societies didn’t have the interconnected systems needed to understand collective behavior globally. But now, globalization allows for the collection and analysis of vast amounts of data, making it easier to spot patterns in human actions across entire populations.

In essence, globalization creates the kind of interconnectivity and data density that could give rise to something similar to psychohistory. The more interconnected societies become, the more the movements of large groups and masses can be modeled and predicted—not by individual decision-making alone, but by emergent behaviors within complex systems.

Globalization, therefore, lays the groundwork for psychohistory by making it easier to understand how small events can lead to massive global outcomes, just as Asimov’s fictional psychohistorians used mathematics and history to predict the future of humanity. The world is more connected than ever, and the effects of one region’s actions can be felt globally, creating patterns that could one day be predictable in ways we could only imagine before.

I maintain that the predictive framework I developed in 1993 accurately anticipated several key global events. These included the 2008 financial crisis, the onset of a global pandemic (predicted within an eight-year margin), and the economic crisis that emerged in March 2025. The model projected a prolonged global depression beginning in 2025, driven by a strategic economic decoupling by China. Notably, this decoupling was modeled not as a standard realignment but as a "scorched earth" maneuver — deliberately self-damaging, yet structurally disruptive to Western economic systems. Concurrently, the model predicted a severe internal consolidation within China, particularly targeting its middle class.

The only major deviation from the model was the failure to predict the September 11, 2001 attacks. However, from a systems-level perspective, this event did not significantly alter the macrohistorical trajectory. It was high-impact in emotional and geopolitical terms, but ultimately consistent with pre-existing global trends.

The model was designed to terminate at the initiation of this decadal crisis period (2025–2035). At the time of its development (1989–1993), I did not possess sufficient historical data or system complexity modeling tools to extend the forecast beyond a major crisis inflection point. Moreover, the act of revealing a prediction introduces observer effects — potentially altering the conditions being predicted. This epistemological limitation remains a central challenge in long-range historical modeling.


Falsifiable Tests for the “Scorched Earth” Hypothesis (2025–2030)

To evaluate whether the model's core assumptions hold, the following tests can be applied:

  1. Intentional Supply Chain Disruption
    Prediction: China restricts exports of critical materials (e.g., rare earths, pharma precursors, solar tech) even when it causes domestic harm.
    Falsifiable If: China instead prioritizes restoring or expanding these exports to sustain its own growth.

  2. Suppression of the Middle Class
    Prediction: Sharp increases in property seizures, punitive social credit enforcement, or anti-consumerist campaigns.
    Falsifiable If: China bolsters middle-class consumption or protects private assets.

  3. Attacks on Western Infrastructure
    Prediction: Evidence of cyber or physical disruption of Western logistics, food systems, or energy grids linked to Chinese state actors.
    Falsifiable If: Such actions are absent, or China maintains clean separation from subversive acts.

  4. Decoupling Without Replacement
    Prediction: China exits or sidelines Western-led economic forums (WTO, IMF) without building new global institutions.
    Falsifiable If: China actively promotes an alternative multilateral architecture (e.g., BRICS-led frameworks).

  5. Refusal to Stimulate Domestic Demand
    Prediction: China resists reflation tools despite recessionary signals.
    Falsifiable If: The state reverts to heavy stimulus, infrastructure booms, or broad consumer support measures.

  6. Strategic Military Escalation Despite Trade Risks
    Prediction: China escalates in Taiwan or the South China Sea even when it predictably undermines its own trade flows.
    Falsifiable If: Escalation remains calibrated to avoid economic fallout.



Falsifiable Tests for the “Strategic Decoupling” Hypothesis (2025–2030)

Psychohistory is not about certainty, but about weighted probabilities. It concerns itself with identifying outcomes that are structurally necessary across a range of possible strategies. In this context, the dominant scenario involves China pursuing a scorched earth–style decoupling as a primary strategic posture. However, the model does allow for a low-probability middle path: a controlled or selective scorched earth, wherein China preserves key domestic systems while inflicting calibrated damage externally.

To test the robustness of this broader model, the following falsifiable predictions should be actively monitored:


1. Intentional Supply Chain Disruption with Parallel Development
Prediction: China restricts exports of critical goods (e.g., rare earths, pharmaceutical precursors, solar components) while simultaneously developing internal substitutes and alternative trade frameworks.
Falsifiable If: China instead reinforces integration with Western markets and avoids building parallel supply architectures.


2. Middle-Class Containment Paired with Ideological Repositioning
Prediction: Increasing signs of asset controls, constrained social mobility, and ideological campaigns discouraging consumerism — reframed as moral or national duty.
Falsifiable If: China's policy clearly favors middle-class empowerment and expansion of consumer privileges.


3. Hybrid Disruption of Western Infrastructure
Prediction: Covert or unattributed disruptions target Western logistics, agriculture, energy, or data infrastructure — often alongside disinformation or cyber warfare.
Falsifiable If: Disruptions are absent or decisively dissociated from Chinese state or proxy activity.


4. Decoupling with Replacement Institutions
Prediction: China withdraws from or sidelines Western-led institutions (e.g., WTO, IMF), while actively advancing replacements (e.g., BRICS+, Belt and Road monetary systems, digital currency clearinghouses).
Falsifiable If: No parallel institutions are developed or existing ones are not meaningfully empowered.


5. Internal Austerity over External Stimulus
Prediction: China avoids reflationary policies even amid slowdown, focusing instead on centralized austerity, production quotas, or strategic stockpiling.
Falsifiable If: The state launches large-scale consumer stimulus or infrastructure booms aimed at restoring growth.


6. Military Posturing that Risks Economic Fallout, Offset by Strategic Alignments
Prediction: China increases military pressure in areas like Taiwan or the South China Sea, even at clear economic cost, while seeking compensatory alignments with resource or energy states (e.g., Russia, Iran).
Falsifiable If: Military behavior is clearly constrained to avoid economic blowback or global reaction.



Near-Certain Outcomes Across Both Strategic Branches (2025–2030)

1. The Collapse of Global Economic Predictability
Convergent Result: Whether China pursues all-out disruption or a more managed divergence, the global economy will become structurally unpredictable — marked by volatility in trade flows, currency shifts, and supply chains. Trust in global financial norms will deteriorate.

  • Why Inevitable: The mere initiation of systemic decoupling, scorched or otherwise, introduces long-lasting uncertainty.


2. End of American-Led Globalization (1990–2020 model)
Convergent Result: The era of seamless, U.S.-anchored globalization will conclusively end. Whether China burns the old system down or builds a parallel one, the post-Cold War global order dies.

  • Why Inevitable: China's exit from the Western-centric system breaks the core assumption of interdependence. Multilateralism won't disappear, but it will fracture irreparably.


3. Realignment of Resource and Security Alliances
Convergent Result: States will reposition toward resource access and regional security, forming new energy, tech, and food blocs.

  • Why Inevitable: No matter the pace or style of decoupling, countries must hedge against instability. Expect new BRICS+ alignments, Gulf–Asian corridors, African–Chinese logistics deals, etc.


4. Technological Bifurcation (Digital Iron Curtain)
Convergent Result: A hardened divide between two technological ecosystems — one led by China (AI, currency, surveillance), one by the West.

  • Why Inevitable: Even in a controlled split, digital infrastructure is ideologically and strategically incompatible. Both sides will firewall core tech.


5. Middle-Class Squeeze Globally (Not Just China)
Convergent Result: The global middle class — especially in developed nations — will face declining security, purchasing power, and mobility.

  • Why Inevitable: Both decoupling strategies disrupt credit access, job stability, and cheap imports, which are the foundations of middle-class prosperity.


6. Surge in Domestic Surveillance and Authoritarian Drift
Convergent Result: Both East and West will expand internal surveillance, censorship, and emergency powers, regardless of the external trigger.

  • Why Inevitable: Governments will justify controls as necessary responses to economic instability, sabotage threats, or ideological subversion.


7. Psychological Crisis of the West
Convergent Result: Western societies will face a crisis of identity, legitimacy, and future-orientation, with trust in institutions and democracy plunging.

  • Why Inevitable: The Western post-Cold War narrative was built on permanent growth and liberal hegemony — both now visibly eroding, regardless of the path China takes.


Tuesday, 15 April 2025

when the director actually listens to feedback

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Is MAGA a Cult? And to Criticize "the Left" Must We Also Criticize "the ...

Made Up




Jimmy Carter–Style: The Back Porch Truth about the Three Channels

Now, let’s sit down and tell the truth, because we owe each other that, don’t we?

CinemaStix is the polished marble of YouTube film critique—tight scripts, careful pacing, sound levels like a NASA countdown. You can almost smell the Final Cut Pro rendering from across the screen. This fella came into the game in 2019, built a clear brand, and delivers videos like press releases from the Department of Aesthetic Excellence.



GreatguyTV and Greatguyaaa, bless their hearts, are from a different era entirely. I mean, we’re talking YouTube in 2007—back when “subscribers” meant a guy in his basement in Mississauga, and “editing” meant maybe pausing the VCR between clips. These channels grew up before the YouTube algorithm had baby teeth.

The content? Lord, it’s a glorious mess. You’ll find clips from TVO, strange retro ads, deep political satire, meme experiments, stand-up comedy riffs, and probably a few seconds of Star Trek: The Animated Series. The structure? About as stable as a peanut silo in a windstorm. But you know what? There’s a history to it. These are cultural time capsules.

CinemaStix is a tight essay. GreatguyTV is a scrapbook. Greatguyaaa is a fever dream.

But let’s not underestimate those latter two. They’re amateurish only if you judge them by modern standards. In 2007, they were part of that first digital wave—when “uploading” felt revolutionary and content was meant to exist, not just perform. They’re weird, they’re inconsistent, but they are honest. And there’s value in that.


Roast and Psychohistorical Analysis

Right. Now let’s get sharp.

CinemaStix: crisp, clean, academic. Every frame is a thesis. Every voiceover sounds like he’s about to apply for a Sundance grant. He’s YouTube's version of that guy in film school who always corrects your pronunciation of “Tarkovsky.” Gorgeous channel—but so precise, you sometimes wonder if AI is editing it. It’s not a vibe, it’s a lecture—just a damn good one.

GreatguyTV: like if Public Access TV and early internet forums had a baby, and that baby binge-watched The Daily Show during a Canadian ice storm. The edits are chaotic. The voiceovers? Like Marshall McLuhan doing stand-up at YTV’s “Uh-Oh!” studio. But it’s got heart—and weirdly sharp instincts. You don’t know what’s coming next, but sometimes it hits you with a moment of accidental brilliance, like a fortune cookie with a thesis inside.

Greatguyaaa: This channel is so random, you’re not sure if it’s art, satire, or just a corrupted upload from the Matrix. It’s not edited—it’s experienced. It’s the kind of content you stumble upon at 2:37 AM and wonder if you dreamed it. Greatguyaaa is basically a meme channel run by someone who may or may not be a time traveler from a message board in 1998.

Psychohistorically speaking?

CinemaStix is a product of late-stage internet capitalism: polish, precision, and brand cohesion in an age of chaos. It’s a survival strategy.

GreatguyTV is a product of the early ideological wild west of digital culture—when people still believed YouTube could be a tool for truth, for fun, and maybe even for revolution. It’s raw, but it remembers.

Greatguyaaa? That’s your trickster archetype: the fool who sees what the scholars miss. A necessary glitch in the system. He doesn’t fight the algorithm—he confuses it.


So, if you want cinema as cathedral, go to CinemaStix.
If you want cinema as graffiti on the back of your high school notebook, GreatguyTV.
If you want cinema as experimental jazz inside a YouTube blender, Greatguyaaa.

The Dome Paradox: A Loophole in Newton's Laws

Saturday, 12 April 2025

when Chinese-trained teachers work in Canada, especially if they still maintain ties to China (emotionally, politically, or structurally), their friendships with Canadians can fall anywhere on a spectrum from genuine to strategic.

But for a significant number, particularly those shaped under China's state system or with roles tied to Party-aligned education (even passively), their friendships are at least partially strategic—by duty, pressure, or design.


πŸ” Breaking It Down: China-Trained Teachers in Canada

πŸŽ“ Who are we talking about?

  • Teachers trained under the CCP education system (especially “normal universities”)

  • Sent abroad via Confucius Institutes, international exchanges, or private schools

  • Some with formal or informal expectations from:

    • The United Front Work Department

    • Chinese consulates

    • Overseas Chinese Affairs Offices


🀝 Real vs. Strategic Friendships: The Spectrum

Type of FriendshipMotivationFrequency
Authentic/GenuinePersonal interest, cultural exchange, emotional bondingCommon among younger, liberal teachers
Semi-StrategicKeeping face, avoiding politics, staying “safe”Very common—friendliness with boundaries
Duty-Driven / StrategicTo gather sentiment, monitor topics, report trends, or influenceMore common in Party-aligned or Confucius Institute-connected teachers

🧠 Key Indicators of Strategic Social Behavior:

  • Avoiding deep discussion of China’s politics but showing curiosity about Western weaknesses

  • Sudden withdrawal or caution when political topics arise

  • Subtle redirection of conversation around Taiwan, Hong Kong, Xinjiang

  • Reporting back impressions of Canadian culture, protests, media, etc.

These may not always be hostile—but they can be mission-oriented or self-protective behaviors, based on training or habit.


πŸ’‘ Notable Detail:

  • In United Front training documents, teachers and overseas professionals are explicitly tasked with building soft influence through:

    “Affinity, integration, and guided friendship with foreign nationals.”

So yes—many of their friendships with Canadians are partly strategic—not always malicious, but often dual-purpose: social engagement + soft power positioning.

 Ai Serach Chat GTP

Links fake or dead?



🧾 Chart: Data Points and Supporting Sources

Data Point Source
1. Fox News' shifting stance on China: Fox News aired segments critical of Trump's tariffs on Chinese imports, influencing his policy decisions. Business Insider – April 2025
2. Ivanka Trump’s Chinese trademarks: Ivanka Trump received multiple trademarks from China during her father's presidency, raising ethical concerns. CBS News – May 2018
3. Timing of trademark approvals: Ivanka Trump's company received trademark approvals on the same day she dined with China's President Xi Jinping. GQ – April 2017
4. Volume of trademarks granted: China granted 18 trademarks to Trump and Ivanka Trump companies within two months. Fox Business – November 2018
5. Jared Kushner's direct dealings with Chinese officials: Kushner prioritized private meetings with Chinese Ambassador Cui Tiankai, raising concerns among U.S. officials. The New Yorker – January 2018
6. Arrest of labor activists investigating Ivanka Trump's factories: Three activists disappeared while investigating labor violations at a factory producing Ivanka Trump-branded shoes. Glamour – May 2017
7. Ivanka Trump's brand continued to win trademarks even after announcing its closure: Despite shutting down her brand, Ivanka Trump continued to receive trademark approvals in China. CBS News – November 2018
8. Ethical concerns over Ivanka Trump's trademarks: Ethics watchdogs raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest due to Ivanka Trump's trademarks in China. CBS News – May 2018
9. Chinese government defends trademark grants to Ivanka Trump: Chinese officials stated that all trademark applications are handled equally, despite concerns over favoritism. NPR – April 2017
10. Ivanka Trump's brand applied for numerous trademarks in China: Between March and July 2016, Ivanka Trump applied for 36 trademarks in China. Wikipedia – Ivanka Trump
11. Chinese entities sponsor conservative think tank events: Chinese organizations have sponsored events at conservative think tanks, promoting favorable narratives. The New York Times – August 2020
12. China's investment in U.S. media companies: Chinese companies have invested in U.S. media outlets, potentially influencing content. Reuters – May 2018
13. Chinese firms lobby U.S. government on trade policies: Chinese companies have increased lobbying efforts in the U.S. to influence trade and technology policies. OpenSecrets – 2020
14. Conservative politicians receive donations from China-linked entities: Some conservative politicians have received campaign donations from entities with ties to China.

Exclusive: How $1M From China-linked Groups Oiled New York Politics - Newsweek

The Guardian – October 2020
15. China's cultural exchange programs target conservative elites: China invests in cultural exchange programs aimed at influencing conservative American elites. Foreign Policy – July 2018
16. Scholarships funded by Chinese institutions offer networks aligned with Chinese perspectives: Chinese-funded scholarships create networks that may align with Chinese government perspectives. The Washington Post – June 2018
17. Joint research initiatives with Chinese and U.S. think tanks favor positive Chinese narratives: Collaborations between Chinese and U.S. think tanks often promote favorable views of China. The Atlantic – October 2018
18. China seeks to weaken U.S. global moral standing: China aims to undermine the U.S.'s moral authority on the global stage. Council on Foreign Relations – March 2018
19. China fosters divisions within U.S. political factions: Chinese strategies include creating divisions within U.S. political groups to weaken opposition. Brookings Institution – January 2019
20. China integrates pro-China narratives into Western discourse through media and cultural channels: China's influence operations

 Title: The Silk Strings of Empire: On the Subtle Instruments of Chinese Influence in the American Right

It is a persistent temptation of democratic societies to imagine that authoritarian power is always wielded bluntly—through tanks, decrees, and Orwellian censorship. That China might instead wield influence by whisper, by flattery, by trademark concessions and well-placed friendships, is too serpentine a notion for a public trained to expect tyranny in jackboots, not stilettos. Yet to observe the American political right over the last decade—its sudden silences on Chinese human rights abuses, its curious capitulations in rhetoric, its entanglements in profit and propaganda—is to glimpse something both subtler and older than the Cold War’s Manichaean simplicity. It is to see influence as the ancients knew it: as an art.

If the name Trump once signaled the American ideal of brash autonomy, by the time Donald Trump assumed the presidency, it was already an emblem freighted with international entanglements. The family’s complex portfolio of trademarks, leases, and potential development deals in the People’s Republic of China was less a scandal than a shrug. That Ivanka Trump, while acting as a senior advisor to the president, secured Chinese trademarks for her personal brand—covering everything from spas to voting machines—might in another era have raised the specter of foreign emolument. But in a media environment so saturated by scandal that corruption became atmospherically normalized, these instances passed without consequence. The moral imagination of the republic, overworked and undernourished, had little energy left to parse the fine print of soft influence.

Nor was this softening limited to the corridors of real estate or fashion. That Rupert Murdoch’s Fox News—a network vociferously nationalistic, ostentatiously anti-globalist, and nominally adversarial toward communist regimes—should simultaneously echo Chinese disinformation on COVID-19’s origins, parrot Beijing’s talking points about Western decadence, or downplay Uyghur persecution, presents a paradox too little examined. That this paradox intersects with the figure of Wendi Deng Murdoch, the Chinese-born ex-wife of Rupert Murdoch and close friend of Ivanka Trump, is less conspiracy than court intrigue. A 2018 report by U.S. intelligence agencies quietly warned of Deng’s potential ties to Chinese government interests, particularly in relation to her lobbying for architectural projects near sensitive military installations. Though no formal charges were ever brought, the portrait painted was one of access and ambiguity—the very medium in which influence thrives.

This network—composed of Murdochian media, Trumpian politics, and a floating class of cosmopolitan intermediaries—has not simply betrayed an ideological lapse but suggested a strategic alignment. China’s goals are not mysterious: to weaken American moral authority, divide its political factions, and embed Beijing-friendly narratives in Western discourse. That it might achieve this not by bribery or espionage but through the oxygen of profit, the temptations of fame, and the loose ethics of media empires, should not surprise anyone who has read Machiavelli—or Madison.

It was Madison who feared that “factions,” left unrestrained, would deform the republic. He did not imagine those factions amplified by cable news, subsidized by foreign markets, and distracted by cultural warfare so relentless that geopolitical clarity becomes impossible. In this landscape, China’s greatest weapon may be America’s own taste for sensation over substance. When Fox News, in the same hour, rails against Marxist conspiracies while platforming hosts who have openly praised China’s stability or urban planning, it ceases to be an ideological project and becomes a vessel for discord. Wendi Deng Murdoch, whose social circle bridges Beijing, New York, and Davos, is emblematic of the new emissaries of empire: not diplomats, not spies, but guests at dinner parties where policy is softened over Pinot Noir.

Certainly, skeptics will note the absence of a smoking gun. There are no signed directives from Xi Jinping to Rupert Murdoch or a trail of yuan leading from the Politburo to Trump Tower. But if the twentieth century taught anything, it is that influence does not always declare itself in ink. It arrives as suggestion, as access, as the soft murmur of markets opening and doors closing. It is the whisper in the greenroom, not the command in the war room, that often determines the course of a nation.

China, ancient and undemocratic, has always understood this. It knows that in a democracy addicted to outrage and novelty, influence need not be forced. It need only be offered, like a gift. And the American right, for all its flag-waving, has proven remarkably eager to accept the gift horse—so long as its mane is brushed, its hooves polished, and its stable air-conditioned.

A Historical Echo: The Subtlety of Influence in Democracies

To understand the mechanics of Chinese influence within the American Right, it is crucial to examine the historical context within which such subtle forces operate. Democracy, by nature, is susceptible to the quieter forms of persuasion that authoritarian regimes excel at deploying. The ancient states understood that the overtly coercive act is seldom the most effective: the subtler hand, the understated gesture, proves far more durable.

In the mid-twentieth century, as the Soviet Union flexed its geopolitical muscles, it was not through direct military intervention in Western politics that the USSR sought to undermine American ideals. Rather, the Soviet Union achieved its greatest influence by weaving webs of ideological influence and subtly exploiting the social fissures in Western democracies. One can trace the roots of modern Russian propaganda in the Soviet-era strategies of cultural subversion and intelligence operations which sought to split the Left from the Right, to manipulate policy through supporting certain factions, and to feed divisions. As the Cold War grew colder, the methods of subversion moved away from blatant interference towards more insidious, sophisticated channels, many of which still persist in the modern era.

Yet while the Soviets employed grandstanding attempts to gain favor, China's approach has been far more elegant. Its ability to manipulate international business, leverage influential media figures, and cultivate quiet personal relationships demonstrates an understanding of modern diplomacy as an art form, one that does not necessarily require an overt, public agenda. The Chinese government is an institution that does not believe in the “clumsy force” of earlier models of foreign intervention. In the post-Cold War world, Beijing recognized that it must work within the rules of the West to maintain its legitimacy and project power abroad. Rather than directly challenging the dominant powers, it cleverly positioned itself as both an economic partner and a moral alternative. China's deft manipulation of intellectuals, the elite classes, and political figures who prefer soft power to military conquest mirrors the Soviets' older, covert model—but with the addition of the global market as an active player.

The Trump family’s dealings with China fit seamlessly into this long-standing pattern. Their real estate ventures in the Middle Kingdom—cautiously cultivated under the previous administration—served as both a financial windfall and, in the eyes of the Chinese government, a prime opportunity to influence the American political landscape. In such a climate, one does not need explicit action from Beijing to realize the potential value of a "friendly" president or a supportive family. As long as Donald Trump and his allies in the family continued to maintain these ties, China did not need to exert overt pressure on them. The very nature of these dealings—private and behind-the-scenes—ensures that the relationships remain difficult to scrutinize, but not immune to exploitation.


The Family Business: Trump's Financial Dependencies

As with most matters surrounding the Trump family, the truth of their dealings in China is obscured by the grandeur of the Trump brand itself. However, the relationship between the Trump Organization and China deserves closer scrutiny. Ivanka Trump’s securing of trademarks in China during her father’s presidency stands as perhaps the clearest example of the blurred lines between family profit and foreign influence. The timing of these trademarks cannot be dismissed as mere coincidence. Ivanka’s burgeoning international brand suddenly found favor in China—a country where trademark law, at the time, was notoriously fickle and often influenced by state interests. Her father’s role as president did not necessitate a formal quid pro quo arrangement. Instead, the family’s connection to the highest echelons of the American government likely provided the necessary leverage for these business transactions to unfold as smoothly as they did.

The ethical questions surrounding Ivanka’s trademarks raise broader concerns about foreign influence within the United States. The Emoluments Clause—an aspect of the Constitution designed to prevent foreign governments from buying influence through direct financial compensation to American officials—was virtually ignored during the Trump administration. The suggestion that these business dealings and the securing of trademarks could be seen as a form of indirect compensation to the Trump family does not seem far-fetched. The notion that China's government, a non-democratic state, might engage in such soft coercion to ensure favorable policies, or at least reduce opposition, is not only plausible but strategic.

What remains most disturbing about the Trump family’s business entanglements is the systemic inability or unwillingness of democratic institutions to confront them. Unlike foreign government operatives or lobbyists seeking explicit policy shifts, China’s actions, when viewed through the lens of business, appeared benign. But history suggests that it is not the overt gifts of cash or promises of policy change that should worry us, but rather the insidious financial entanglements that act as an invisible form of leverage.


Fox News: The New Propaganda Wing?

If the Trump family’s dealings with China offer a glimpse into the financial side of American-Chinese relations, the role of media—specifically Fox News—offers a window into the ideological subversion at play. While Fox News is ostensibly an American network, its ties to Chinese money and influence have long been the subject of quiet speculation. Under Rupert Murdoch’s ownership, the network has consistently shifted from its earlier days of fierce anti-communism to increasingly sympathetic rhetoric on China. While Murdoch has publicly criticized China, his business interests in the region speak volumes about the realpolitik of the situation.

One cannot overlook the shifting stance of Fox News when it comes to China. The network has, at various points, downplayed the origins of the COVID-19 pandemic, softened its rhetoric on human rights abuses in Xinjiang, and echoed narratives sympathetic to Chinese government positions. These positions do not arise from nowhere; they are strategically aligned with Murdoch’s interests in maintaining access to Chinese markets and protecting his media empire’s profitability within the region. The recent years saw Fox’s increasingly pro-China stance even as the Trump administration—once publicly hawkish on Beijing—adopted policies that occasionally contradicted the views put forth by Fox News personalities.

The nature of this media influence cannot be understood in simplistic terms. Fox News is not explicitly on the Chinese payroll, but the subtle alignment of its messages with Chinese priorities cannot be dismissed as coincidental. A network built upon sensationalism and populist rhetoric naturally has the most to gain from becoming a willing partner in promoting China’s strategic narrative—a narrative that serves to weaken American resolve while presenting China as a stable, alternative model of governance.

Murdoch’s willingness to sacrifice ideological purity for access to China’s lucrative market is a choice that speaks to a broader cultural and political reality: in an era where media is as much about markets as messages, the lines between profit and propaganda blur. What has emerged is a corporate media apparatus willing to echo Beijing’s message when it serves its bottom line. The connection between Fox News and China, while far less explicit than a spy ring or governmental directive, is no less profound for its subtlety.


The Politics of Influence: Wendi Deng Murdoch and the New Elite Diplomacy

In the intermingling spheres of business, politics, and media, the figure of Wendi Deng Murdoch presents the most complex case. A Chinese-born entrepreneur, Deng’s personal ties to Rupert Murdoch were not merely the stuff of high society gossip. They were part of a larger geopolitical strategy. Deng's intimate relationship with Murdoch positioned her at the intersection of power in both China and the West. Her business dealings and media involvement further cemented her status as a potential conduit for Chinese influence.

Her role as an intermediary between Chinese government interests and Western elites cannot be easily dismissed. Deng’s position as a key figure within Murdoch’s media empire allowed her to exert influence on a variety of media channels that shaped Western views on China. But beyond her media empire connections, Deng's personal relationships with high-ranking Chinese officials—including President Xi Jinping—suggest a deeper involvement in Chinese soft power operations. She is not just an observer; she is a player in the global theater of influence, moving between power centers with the ease of a diplomat who does not need official credentials.


The Broader Picture: China’s Long Game

To understand the larger implications of this quiet manipulation, one must place these individual connections into the broader context of China’s global ambitions. The Chinese government has long recognized that in order to challenge American hegemony, it must first undermine the moral and cultural foundations that support it. China’s strategy, then, is not one of direct confrontation but of incremental influence—a steady encroachment that takes advantage of the dissonance inherent in democratic societies. By nurturing alliances with elites, shaping cultural narratives, and leveraging economic ties, China aims to foster a world more sympathetic to its interests.

This long game is playing out across multiple fronts, in politics, business, and media. The fact that the American Right, once the fiercest critic of Communist regimes, has found itself so enmeshed in China’s web speaks to the paradox of our times: it is not coercion or propaganda alone that shapes modern geopolitics, but the softer, subtler threads of influence woven through business, media, and elite diplomacy.


Conclusion: The Death of Bipartisan Vigilance

The quiet relationship between China and the Trump family, Murdoch’s media empire, and other American elites represents a profound shift in how influence is wielded in the modern age. The notion of foreign interference has evolved beyond the blunt tools of espionage and corruption to embrace the subtler instruments of cultural influence and financial entanglement. While no explicit “smoking gun” exists to prove the case of Chinese manipulation, the circumstantial evidence—woven through business dealings, media narratives, and personal connections—becomes impossible to ignore.

If America is to confront the rise of China as a global power, it must first recognize the nature of this influence. The Chinese strategy is not one of overt confrontation, but of quiet infiltration. The American Right, whether through greed, opportunism, or naivetΓ©, has unwittingly become an accomplice in a far-reaching geopolitical drama. The stakes are high, and the time for reckoning is long overdue.



 April 7th 2025


The Anxiety Meme: Beneath the Skin of Time

The song Anxiety, a quiet pulse of sound, emerged on November 10, 2019. Unseen, unremembered, it drifted through the air, a brief whisper. It was a track in the vast sea of releases, unnoticed by most, lost in the noise of the ever-turning world. But like the river carving its path through stone, it lingered, unnoticed until it could no longer stay hidden.

Then, in the early months of 2025, the song was reborn — remixed, reinvented, and given new meaning. A new rhythm. A new life. The remix, spinning on TikTok, became a current, carrying dancers in its wake. They moved — bodies in sync with a beat, arms and legs tracing out their own stories. It was a moment that no one expected but all felt. The music, its pulse, was infectious.

But beneath this surface, there was something more. A gesture hidden within the movement, a shape shifting beneath the skin. The dancers, their bodies twisting and turning, paid tribute to a moment from a different time — to The Fresh Prince of Bel-Air, a show that had played in homes for years, its characters etched into our memories like old friends. There was the shadow dancer, the figure moving quietly behind the one in front — mimicking the past with a touch of grace, the echo of a scene once danced in the living rooms of the 1990s.

That scene, that moment between Will Smith and Tatyana Ali — it was a piece of something, like the fleeting glance of a familiar face in a crowd. It was not just about the moves, but about the way we remembered them, how we found them again when the world had moved on. The internet took this, these brief moments of forgotten joy, and wove them into something new, creating thousands of variations — a living, breathing creature made of memory and remix.

On March 14, 2025, Will Smith, once the lion of Hollywood, his roar silenced by the violence of the 2022 Oscars, reached out from the shadows. He was no longer the fresh-faced prince. The world had turned away from him, the scars of that moment still visible, the weight of public judgment heavy in the air. But the world, fickle and ever-moving, turned again. He had not disappeared, not yet.

He found the creator of Anxiety’s remix and together, they re-created the dance. Will Smith and Tatyana Ali, those figures from the past, stood once more before the camera, their movements now intertwined with a new soundtrack, with Anxiety. It was no longer a scene from a show, but a moment of rebirth — the past given new music, new meaning, new life.

This was not simply a nod to nostalgia. It was an act of reclamation. Will Smith, fallen from grace, sought to rise again. In his dance with Tatyana Ali, the two figures from a forgotten television show, now set to the pulse of 2025, sought to rewrite their own history. Anxiety was no longer just a song — it was a thread, a lifeline, a moment of transformation. It was the rhythm of redemption, the beat of rising from fall.

And in that moment, the internet, ever the creator of new myths, did what it does best — it rewrote history. What had been forgotten was revived. What had been broken was mended. The remix became more than music; it became a metaphor for the process of reinvention. The meme became a story. Will Smith and Tatyana Ali, their dance, now infused with a new life, whispered the truth: the skin of the lion might be scarred, but the heart still beats. The past and present, memory and moment, were stitched together in this new form, this new rhythm.

The meme would ripple out, a thousand versions of the same dance, each telling the same story, but in a different voice. And the song, once unnoticed, became a symbol. It was not just a remix. It was the intersection of time and memory, of personal redemption and cultural resurrection.


Citations:

  1. Vulture. "Doechii's 'Anxiety' Remix Is a Viral Sensation." March 15, 2025.

  2. Entertainment Weekly. "Will Smith and Tatyana Ali Recreate the Iconic 'Fresh Prince' Dance in Viral TikTok." March 14, 2025.

  3. People. "Will Smith Reunites with 'Fresh Prince' Costar Tatyana Ali to Recreate Their Trending 'Anxiety' Dance." March 14, 2025.

  4. Ondaatje, Michael. The Skin of a Lion. 1987.

  5. Barthes, Roland. Mythologies. 1957.

  6. Jenkins, Henry. Convergence Culture: Where Old and New Media Collide. 2006.

CBC News: The National | Trump threatens huge new tariff on China

All White People are Inherently Racist and Oppressive: Lessons from Coun...

Wednesday, 9 April 2025

 "Deliberately crashing the economy creates opportunities for mass transfers of wealth from the working class to the billionaire class. This is oligarchy 101. Billionaires aren’t impacted at all by economic crashes. So what is affected? Small businesses that collapse. Mortgages that cannot be paid and foreclose. Goods and services that cannot be afforded. Public government institutions that lose funding and therefore faith. The billionaire class then goes in and buys up these small businesses, toxic assets (real estate), and privatizes these public services. Our agency and our leverage to use the dollar as a check and balance vaporizes, putting a perpetual renters market for all material purchases and putting a stranglehold on our ability to influence prices, standards of service, and salary. Why aren’t we just calling this what it is?"

heyhoagiemouth

 


PeePee Will Get on your Shoes Everytime, And Your Like It

STEP 2: Psychological Profile of Pierre Poilievre and his Indirect Utility to Foreign Actors

2A. Personality and Political Style

To understand how foreign actors might strategically utilize Pierre Poilievre's profile, we need to dissect both his public persona and psychological traits.

Traits Based on Rhetoric and Behavior:

  • High Dominance (Authoritarian Tendencies): Poilievre often uses strong, combative language to position himself as a leader who stands against the "elite," which appeals to those frustrated with the status quo. This positions him well to be leveraged by foreign actors who benefit from weakening liberal, technocratic institutions.

  • Anti-Establishment: He frequently targets institutions (like the Bank of Canada or the CBC), echoing populist themes that delegitimize mainstream authority figures and institutions. This parallels tactics used by Russia and China to erode trust in liberal democratic systems.

  • Focus on Economic Nationalism: Poilievre's advocacy for economic sovereignty and less regulation resonates with foreign interests like Russia’s need for less Western oversight, and China’s desire for fewer restrictions on its economic expansion.

2B. Ego Protection and Plausible Deniability

  • Deliberate Denial of Influence: Poilievre has maintained a plausible deniability approach regarding any foreign influence—he consistently portrays himself as independent of any foreign ties, a characteristic that would be attractive to foreign powers aiming to maintain indirect influence while avoiding detection.

  • Appeal to the Populist Narrative: His anti-globalist rhetoric—positioning himself as the defender of Canadian sovereignty against foreign elites—aligns well with the strategic interests of foreign powers wishing to create division between Canada and its allies.

2C. How Foreign Powers Would Exploit His Personality

  • Psychological Leverage: Poilievre’s psychological profile—anti-elite, combative, and populist—would make him an ideal candidate to be manipulated via narrative control. These traits make him a figure who believes himself to be above external manipulation, thus making him a useful instrument for indirect influence.

  • Vulnerability to Disinformation: Individuals with strong political convictions against “elitism” or “globalism” are often more susceptible to narratives that feed into their worldview—making him a potential conduit for foreign propaganda, even without direct involvement.


STEP 3: Foreign Disinformation Playbook as It Appears in Canada

Now that we have Poilievre’s psychological traits mapped, let’s explore how Russia and China might deploy their disinformation strategies to exert influence indirectly, using Poilievre as a possible unwitting amplifier of their agendas.

3A. Russian Disinformation Playbook

  • Information Warfare (Hybrid Tactics): Russia has a long history of using disinformation to divide Western societies, particularly through online manipulation and media channels. This includes:

    • Pushing divisive rhetoric: Such as anti-establishment narratives, calls for populist rebellion, or victimizing nationalistic rhetoric.

    • Targeting key figures: Disinformation might involve amplifying the most polarizing narratives—for instance, Carney’s globalism or Trudeau’s ties to international organizations—which may play into Poilievre’s narrative of "elites."

    • Exploiting Political Divides: By focusing on wedge issues like immigration or national identity, Russia could intentionally stoke tensions between left and right to prevent unified democratic opposition.

Case Example: Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. presidential election highlighted their use of microtargeting through social media. They utilized divisive issues to push populist candidates who could destabilize Western alliances, an approach that could be mirrored in Canada.

3B. Chinese Disinformation Playbook

  • United Front Tactics: Through diaspora manipulation, China can subtly influence public opinion, particularly among ethnic Chinese communities, to support candidates who are more amenable to Beijing’s political and economic interests.

    • Economic Pressure and Soft Power: China also leverages its economic clout by using investments or trade relations to subtly push pro-China narratives, both within media and public discourse.

    • Suppressing Opposition to China: Discrediting those who criticize China’s human rights abuses or its geopolitical ambitions (e.g., in Hong Kong, Taiwan, Xinjiang) is key to China’s disinformation operations.

Case ExampleWeChat has become a primary channel for Chinese-language disinformation in Canada. The spread of false or misleading narratives can align with pro-populist rhetoric that undermines Carney’s technocratic approach.

3C. Techniques and Methods to Influence Poilievre’s Narrative

  1. Botnet Amplification:

    • Social media bots can push right-wing populist messages, amplifying Poilievre’s anti-establishment stances, while masking the origin of the narrative.

    • Using fake accounts, coordinated messaging campaigns could support Poilievre’s rise and sabotage his opponents, especially Carney, by linking him to globalist elites.

  2. Narrative Control via Outlets and Influencers:

    • Foreign actors can promote pro-Poilievre narratives through media outlets and influencers who are aligned with anti-globalist or anti-establishment rhetoric.

    • These influencers might inadvertently serve as vectors for foreign-backed narratives, using local issues (e.g., immigration, climate change) to push broader strategic interests.


Next Steps to Investigate:

  • Step 4: Soft Signals & Anomalies: Identifying digital footprints and any suspicious social media activity connected to these disinformation campaigns.

  • Step 5: The Mark Carney Threat Axis: Deep dive into why foreign actors focus on smearing Carney specifically and its geopolitical rationale.